In the case of Britain the benefit for Russia has been direct and impressive: The United Europe was being defensively beheaded and economically mutilated staying divided and almost unarmed as never before against Russian aggression and encirclement but also against the U.S. economic pressures.
One could more easily ascertain the huge political gains Trump’s victory has offered to Putin’s Russia, although its magnitude is yet inestimable. An admirer of Putin in the head of the U.S. superpower, who is so shamelessly bound politically and economically to cadres of the Russian superpower, and such a staunch supporter of NATO’s disintegration, means that Putin will be free to march with multiplied impudence in all warfronts he has opened up inside and around the almost unarmed Europe. It should be noted that by saying Trump we don’t refer solely to a specific big bourgeois. Apart from the fact that his close relations with the Kremlin have been proven (e.g. the man who was until recently his closest consultant, P. Manafort, has been exposed as a close consultant to V. Yanukovych, that is Putin’s plant Ukrainian PM, so Trump was recently compelled to remove him for election purposes), he could never ride into presidency unless he had the most aggressive and parasitic factions of the U.S. monopolistic capital on his side, that is the factions favouring cooperation with Russia and with other forces of the neo-Nazi Axis for their common dominance over the rest of the world. For instance, a bully, racist, sexist, and basically a friend of the butcher Putin’s would have never ride to the U.S. presidency if he had been confronted by the Clinton-Obama-Sanders leadership in his whole political-ideological line, especially his pro-Putinism, instead of the latter’s getting lost in a hollow criticism of his personal and “psychological deficiencies”, inappropriate “for a responsible President”, as Clinton and Obama repeated time and again.
It has been proven that they were firing blanks unwilling to rock a big mass of people supporting the fascist guy.
However, those forces of the U.S. monopoly rising now to power, either insidiously or overtly, along with Trump, are minority forces, because the general trend and the objective strategic interests of the American state lie in the projection of some weak or strong resistance, together with the almost unarmed Europe and the most countries of the third world, to the thunderous aggressiveness of the Russo-Chinese war axis, and not in the close cooperation with it. That’s why Trump, a Russophile as he is, could only come to power in a temporary but active alliance with the American, basically the white, poor masses, and no one is in a better position than the Russian state-monopolistic new-type bourgeoisie to know the methods for politico-ideological approach and manipulation of those masses for dirty purposes against their real interests. Because it is this class that managed with unparalleled duplicity to take power away from the Soviet proletariat from within and transform soviet Russia into the global center of fascist imperialism and war. Only under the political guidance of this class and its leader Putin and only with the propagandistic politico-diplomatic means this advanced machine of political infiltration disposes of in the U.S. and everywhere in the world could a corrupt rentier and real estate speculator – trader of expensive land – take power in the White House by shouting “long live Russia!” That is why it would be better to consider that it is not basically a minority faction of the U.S. capital but an infiltrator basically working for the imperialist interests and under guidance of the Russian fascist-state war capital that has taken power by assault in the U.S. or even to uphold the closest to reality view that Putin has just settled in the White House.
It is for this minority and actually external character of Trump’s power in USA that, in our opinion, this power cannot be stable in the U.S., either internally or externally. Precondition of its maintenance is the rapid speeding-up of the world war, but also a permanent situation of coup d’état and of an undeclared political and institutional war or, why not, even a hot war in the interior.
Our assessment of “Trump in the opposition and not in the presidency”
But OAKKE did not estimate at all that Russia favored this result, but that she favored Clinton’s victory with a strong Trump’s fascist current in the opposition, as strange as that can be considered.
Nevertheless we stressed that the tragic for the planet outcome of US elections had actually been decided since the election of both Clinton and Trump (the first being a covertly pro-Russian in the guise of a pro-détente politician, the latter an open Putinist) as candidates of the two big parties for presidency. However, many things and mainly the outcome itself indicate that Putin’s Russia chose to send Trump to presidency, which means that the last battle between Clinton and Trump for the presidency was also of great significance.
So we did not base our “Clinton-likely-to-be-president” estimation in that the American people couldn’t follow a fascist. Because as Marxists we know that it’s always the liberal monopolists’ contempt for the poor, especially for the unskilled working class, that paves the way for the fascist monopoly capitalism everywhere on earth. It is that kind of liberals that try their best to make the working class of the old industrial world compete with the lower-waged peoples of the new industrial third world, but never want to make them oppose the fascist rulers that subjugate those peoples into their galleys. It is especially with the worst exploiters of the working class on earth, the Chinese monopolists, primarily responsible for the impoverishment of the western working class, that the western liberal monopolists excellently cooperate.
We based our prediction for Clinton’s victory on our political assessment that Putin’s Russia had at this phase a keen interest in keeping Trump’s current in the opposition, as this would divide and disintegrate the strong anti-Russian trends of the Republican Party (Romney, Bush, McCain, Rubio), which would be strong in the Congress, while Russia at the same time would have a Clinton-Sanders-Obama presidency at her disposal, dragging the pathetically pro-détente democrats more easily in the Congress into new concessions to the Russo-Chinese axis. In other words we thought that Clinton’s presidency would mean a much more pro-Russian Congress than a polarizing pro-Putin Trump’s presidency would imply. We also assessed and still believe that under Trump the base of the Democratic Party would much more easily see the danger of Putin's Russia and be mobilized against it, as the latter would hide her pro-Russian line behind empty anti-Putin rhetoric. On this occasion we must make it clear that Clinton’s popular electoral base is today much more politically progressive than Trump’s base, although the latter includes the poorest faction of the white working class the majority of which is not fascist, which means not fanatically pro-Trump. Modern history has however shown that when some factions of the working class, which has the historical mission of leading the change of the world, get blind, that is when they lose their revolutionary vanguard, they try to change the world vice-versa. Such factions of the working class, that want change against “the system” by their very class nature, that is change against the dominant bloc of the bourgeoisie, often enthusiastically take part in the fascist counterrevolution led by the worst but not yet dominant imperialist bloc for the latter’s own dirty purposes.
So we assessed that Trump as president would gradually provoke a strong anti-Putin counter-rally in both the Republican Party and, particularly, the Democratic one in which Clinton would have been crushed, though at a first stage he would somehow dissolve reactions against him within the Republican Party. In other words we assessed that in the case of Trump’s victory we would have a largely anti-Trump Congress, and we’ve noticed that no president of the U.S. could easily govern unless the Congress stood alongside him/her. Besides, we assessed that the power of this disgusting guy would provoke a democratic alert not only inside the U.S. but also globally, and that it would definitely challenge the peoples’ consciences as to how big and imminent is the danger of Russia and of her neo-Hitler’s axis along with China and maybe tomorrow with Trump’s favorite India of Modi’s fascist Hindus.
We still believe in the validity of the above estimates of ours, and also that Trump will face real big obstacles in his path. However, contrary to our assessments and predictions, the facts have proven that Putin’s diplomacy fought hard to bring his friend to power by using all their well-known dirty instruments and valuable knowledge in the analysis of all classes and class-factions, particularly the analysis of their ideology and psychology.
Putin’s diplomacy not only used the e-mails they hacked from the dirty Clinton, who published them through her wikileaks at the beginning of the election battle. This could be interpreted, and that’s how we interpret it according to our rationale, as a Putin’s gift to Trump so that the latter remained strong although lacking majority. What actually proved that some dark forces were working for Trump’s victory at all costs was the FBI director J. Comey’s sudden insinuation about the 650,000 unread Clinton’s e-mails, 11 days prior to the elections, thus dramatically changing the tide and creating the last upward trend for Trump. Another even more revealing gift with which Putin accompanied his protégé towards presidency was his repeated strict order addressed to the Russian officers to postpone the bombing of Aleppo till the election day, so that Trump avoided being burdened with the blood spilt by his butcher protector at the elections.
Only a Putin’s decision to quickly move towards world war could explain Trump’s presidency
We are not of course in the position to know exactly how Trump may apply his pro-axis foreign policy so as to avoid being confronted by the relatively uncontrolled by him Senate, in which at that Rubio was elected, maybe the most advanced expresser of the “arch-enemy-of-the-U.S.-is-Putin’s-Russia” policy line. It is possible that Trump will try to stabilize and then enlarge his base with a series of demagogic domestic measures. However, we don’t believe that he will avoid engaging in confrontation with the Congress and widely with the democratic majority of the U.S. public opinion on the russian question. But the fact that Putin did choose to have an open and polarizing Russophile in the White House instead of a 2nd Obama, with whom he gained so many advances of positions, tells us one thing: Russia can only assist Trump through stepping up her war. So, the installation of a swollen friend of Putin’s in the capital city of the West means that the Russian strategic attack brooks no delay till Trump gains through various tricks some tolerating majorities in the Congress, the Supreme Court etc. We think that those problems for Trump could only be resolved when the U.S. of the classic western monopoly and the politically unorganized democratic masses will be forced to rush dazed and surprised behind Putin so as to gain through consultations what they cannot achieve in the warfronts as Trump will hold the keys to the U.S. army and NATO.
For instance, let us assume that tomorrow Putin invaded the Baltic republics and the Congress tried to veto Trump’s decision not to resolutely assist them through NATO. If this veto passed, it could have no practical effect. It could not prevent Russia from swallowing up the Baltic republics in no time, dragging in the process the U.S. Congress into consultations with her, while at the same time a “pro-peace” movement against U.S. interference in Europe would be in progress; a protest movement that would sweep the U.S. by uniting Trump’s “patriotic” mobs with ecologists, Trotskyites “anti-imperialist and pacifist” of all kinds, while the democratic masses and the real pro-European and patriotic factions of the American bourgeoisie would only then try to form an anti-Russian front. In the meantime, the pro-Russian fascist front will not hesitate to wage permanent constitutional coups within the U.S. In each case, the fascist core of Trump’s party will massively infiltrate the intelligence services and the army. Of course, regardless of how things may go and how the “red”-brown front may work in the U.S., it is certain that the American, European, and global democratic resistance will eventually unfold no matter how many the difficulties. Still, as a first step, the war advance of fascism will be speedy, and at that it’s only with such a speedy advance that Trump’s power could stand in the U.S. Its stability could only be based on the torrential international and domestic war instability. To sum up, we don’t see that this Putin-Trump world leading duet, which is the one uniting the worst Russia with the worst U.S. of all times, could stand without the speeding-up of the world war or without the speeding-up of the introduction of fascist dictatorships everywhere.
The false “anti-racist” stance of the official European leadership is the most worrying factor of future developments
The real question for democrats is that the stabilization of Trump’s power has been firmly assisted by the stance of the European pro-Russian “liberals”, Merkel, Renzi, Hollande, who have been criticizing Trump since his victory for his racism-sexism and not for his pro-Putinism, which would expose him as a pro-Hitler fascist.
So, they too have followed the one-sided, catastrophic line of criticism of Trump the Clintons-Obama applied during the electoral battle. This policy failed because, among other things, a percentage of blacks and an even bigger percentage of Latinos voted for Trump, as the latter tried actively and often underground to reassure and win over them during the campaign. We believe that Trump’s racist and xenophobic rationale serves more the winning over of the poor and politically backward white labor through revitalization and exploitation of the racial competition in the battle for wages, or in the battle for security in their slums, rather than the organizing of a real racist pogrom sometime in the future. It is exactly what Putin does. He revives race and religious racism everywhere so as to divide his enemies but never uses them as the basic political weapon of his violence. In this respect, the greatest ideological danger for the American people is the revival of this chauvinistic and imperialistic American dream, expressed by Trump’s central electoral motto “Make America great again!”, which aims to finally unite whites, blacks, and Latinos in a dirty political alliance with a really “Great Russia” and with a really “Great China”, allegedly for the sake of peace. This state grandeur is today the motto of the most dangerous form of present time racism, which is the national and especially the great-state racism. That’s why Merkel-Obama-Renzi’s call for the unity of Europe against the American racist and sexist menace that Trump allegedly above all expresses is no other than an indirect call for ignoring the real and vital for Europe menace of Eurasian neo-Hitler’s national-racist and especially great-state war, which must rally together many nationalities within the state in order to be effective. So, unless Merkel-Obama-Renzi, and May, presented the Russian imperialism and national-racism as the first and imminent threat for Europe and faced Trump first and foremost as a friend to it, they would be the bigger traitors of Europe and her peoples.
Putin will grab whatever he can. The deeper cause of our wrong assessment on the U.S. presidency issue
We think it follows from the above that the deeper cause of our wrong assessment on the U.S. elections outcome, although we rightly grasped the focal point, lies in that we thought in terms of older political balances and mostly of previous forms and rhythms of advance of the chief enemy. This is a mistake of dialectical understanding of the real situation.
We made a similar mistake at the end of 2014, when we assessed that the SYRIZA party did not really wish the elections, because Europe would not give it loans for free, so if it took over the government it would lose its social base and fall. In other words, we believed that again Russia favored a pro-European party in the government, with SYRIZA striding up and down posing in the opposition as the people. However, SYRIZA, that is Putin’s best European instrument, took power as a hungry dog. And though it really lost its wide social base, as we had rightly predicted, and at that became the most detestable party, it has made an invaluable contribution to its Russian bosses: fascistization of the state, an orgy of sabotage in production, delivery of crucial state infrastructure to the russian-chinese axis, division of Europe and timely assistance to Brexit through the large-scale provocation by abruptly opening borders to the immigrants without former consultation with EU, veto's in favor of Russia and Iran within the EU etc. And SYRIZA has done all this just because it is a screaming poodle in the court of Putin. That’s why the latter, always finding out a paralyzed Europe and a paralyzed U.S. against all his provocations, now dares to take over the helm of the flagship of western imperialism through pirate’s boarding, aware of the fact that he can maintain this position by just exhibiting more audacity and by using more violence against the rest sleepy fleet.
This is the truth. Things are moving so quickly that sometimes even OAKKE, with a so much advanced understanding of neo-Hitlerism, lags behind.
Rally with OAKKE for the anti-fascist front, and for the real party of the working class
However, it is not this mistake we should view as the most important thing concerning the assessments of OAKKE on the historic question of the U.S. elections; not only because its basic assessment that whoever won the elections the U.S. diplomacy would be blocked by Putin, on which we insist, was right, but mostly because Trump’s election itself verified, for anyone who has eyes to see, the correctness of the strategic world analysis of OAKKE and especially its analysis on the over-reactionary friendly policy of the U.S. political leadeship towards the global strategy of Russian social-imperialism. So, the important thing is that we have dared to express for two decades now the position that new-tsars’ Russia has set a firm and catalytic foot on the U.S. leadership through the presidents Bill Clinton and Obama, by exploiting the pro-detente toward Russia, anti-third-world hegemonistic interventions of U.S. imperialism. Without the political, economic, diplomatic, and police-security background having been methodically cultivated by those valuable hidden friends of new-tsars’ Russia, who had at that planted provocateurs in key-positions (e.g. the fatal G. Tenet in the CIA), Donald Trump, an open admirer of Putin with his own fascist political movement, would have never become a U.S. president. At that, for no other reason than for the systematic exposure of the strength of Russian diplomacy within the U.S. leadership has OAKKE been scoffed so much at by social-fascists. The most sacred of the stereotypes of social-fascism is that the economically strong West could easily recruit the leaders of Russia, such as e.g. Gorbachev and Yeltsin, as agents (something that never really happened), while the allegation of OAKKE that the impoverished Russia of Gorbachev and Yeltsin, but also in possession of nuclear weapons, of a modern army and of the best diplomatic machine in the world history, may have a U.S. president as her agent sounds like a joke.
The main thing, however, is that we should look forward. What we see then is that, after the overt rise of pro-russian fascism in power in the U.S., the solar winds from such a colossal change in the second greatest diplomatic centre of the imperialistic world will leave nothing standing of what we already know.
All forces will be redeployed and all consciousnesses will be awakened towards the one or the other direction. That’s why we must make OAKKE stronger, and make it quickly. We call upon our left-wing and democratic friends to contact us through our website or by visiting us, and talk, act, and think together at party work level, but also at the level of democratic anti-fascist front. Particularly, this last thing is so crucial to be left over to the hands of the Greek democratic sections of the bourgeoisie, which is generally afraid of railing at the great powers and usually does half the work. Of course resistance to the fascist monsters by every progressive class will become stronger independently of us, but in so far as social-fascism, that is the fake “red”, lies in the hard core of the enemy, there is no somewhat stable, coherent, and effective democratic and antifascist front that could stand and actually be established unless revolutionary Marxism, and therefore the new communist party, lied at its hard core. That’s why it is absolutely imperative, more than ever before, that OAKKE gets stronger, and at that urgently.
Athens, November 10, 2016- (published in the Greek web page)